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Tradition has it, that at the beginning of each new year, strategists offer their predictions and expectations for the coming 12 months. Economists handicap GDP figures for the US, Eurozone and Emerging markets. Asset allocators focus on predictions for bonds, commodities, equities and currencies. Trading desks usually draft a report on the top 10 bullish [...] This report was sent to subscribers on December 29, 2010. Join our free mailing list to receive actionable SIR information 48 hours before it is posted for the public… EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: • Rising commodity prices are leading to increased costs – pressuring margins for restaurant operators. • Modest sales growth in 2010 raises concerns about [...] Meredith Whitney made headlines over the weekend appearing on “60 Minutes” and predicting a devastating year ahead for municipal bonds. “You could see 50 sizeable defaults… Fifty to 100 sizeable defaults… More… This will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of defaults.” ~Meredith Whitney While the Wall Street establishment has been quick to [...] This report was sent to subscribers on December 8, 2010. Join our free mailing list to receive this actionable info 48 hours before the public… EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: • New drilling techniques created a supply glut, pressuring natural gas prices. • Natural gas producers have materially increased production, but profit margins have been pressured due to [...] Shares of Caterpillar (CAT) have been steadily rising as infrastructure projects around the world have increased sales. After seeing net income drop by more than 60% from 2007 through 2009, investors are now enjoying a rebound in earnings – primarily driven by emerging market demand. Caterpillar is well known for its bright yellow industrial equipment – [...] An abbreviated week for US markets didn’t do much to keep traders from hammering prices of industrial commodities – or ratcheting up risk expectations for euro-sensitive issues. As the market wound to a mid-day close on Friday, investors appeared hesitant to take home long exposure, and a decline into the close reinforced our bearish posture. [...] The last few weeks have featured a stealth (and not-so-stealth) shift in momentum. After the QE2 euphoria, all of the major indices have filled their gaps and now look vulnerable. For the most part, broad averages finished flat to slightly higher last week. But a mid-week drop certainly caught the bulls’ attention and surprised many [...] This report was sent to subscribers on November 17, 2010. Join our free mailing list to receive this actionable info 48 hours before the public… EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: • A global currency war has pushed the value of cash lower, and the corresponding prices of soft commodities higher. • Producers of foodstuffs are struggling with higher [...] Friday’s action offered a dramatic wake up call for the bulls… It wasn’t really the magnitude of losses as the Dow only lost 90 points and the S&P 500 was off just a bit more than 1%. No, the real surprise was in the areas of the market which got hit the hardest: As Jack [...] Despite an impressive late-summer rally in the broad equity markets, pharmaceutical companies have been relatively complacent. In recent weeks, the broad industry has begun to look vulnerable as several large-cap names have taken on water. One would think that a US Republican victory would help support the industry. Calls to repeal the healthcare reform act, [...] This report was sent to subscribers on November 3, 2010. Join our free mailing list to receive this actionable info 48 hours before the public… EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: • Uncertainty surrounding China’s internet “infotainment” industry has pushed valuations to attractive levels. • Heavy competition has materially weakened the marginal players, leaving the strongest to survive and [...] After months of negotiation, speculation, and excessive discussion, the Canadian government has officially blocked the proposed BHP Billiton (BHP) takeover of Potash Corp (POT). While BHP still has 30 days to challenge this ruling and bring any additional information forward, it appears that the hostile takeover will not occur – and any potential competing bids will [...] Shares of Ctrip.com Intl Ltd. (CTRP) are off more than 6% and continuing to push lower as we head into the close. The stock has been a high-flyer “risk-on” trading vehicle for the last several quarters – rallying more than 400% from the 2009 lows. The company reported earnings that solidly beat analyst expectations, but [...] As we kick off another week in the life of a trader, it’s clear that the majority of active participants are focusing on one – and only one – announcement this week. Sure, there are the token earnings reports along with minutes from the Bank of Japan, and the results of mid-term elections… But as [...] The last six weeks have been kind to shareholders of Visa Inc. (V). After the company announced it had reached a settlement with the Department of Justice, the shares rose steadily as investors perceived much of the company’s risk to be contained. MasterCard Inc. (MA) also reached a settlement while American Express (AXP) decided to [...] |
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