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Germany’s Outlook is Terrible, Gold Could Be Playing Possum, and Multiple False Trends Look Good

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February 27, 2015
slider mercenary research 2

Negative interest rates and markets at all time highs... this is the dazed aftermath of a toxic medicinal cocktail. Opportunities in multiple false trends and why gold may only be playing dead.
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Energy Stocks Look False Trend Attractive as Bulls Ignore Janet Yellen

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February 25, 2015
slider mercenary research 3

Yellen places subtle emphasis on a June rate hike, institutional money driving false trends, and a look at emerging markets.
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Germany Plays “Bad Cop Good Cop” Down to the Wire, But Still Likely Compromises At the Last Second

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February 20, 2015
slider-mercenary-research-1

Germany playing "Bad Cop Good Cop" to Greece.
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Baby Got Black (Swan)

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January 21, 2015
Slider Risk Management

I like... fat... tails and I cannot lie... you vol sellers can't deny...
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SpaceX Shows How Failure Creates Success

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January 20, 2015
Slider Inspiration & Insight

Here is what winners understand, deep down in their gut, that the mediocre masses don't: Failure paves the road to success.
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You Don’t Have to Know the Future (And Shouldn’t Want To!)

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December 30, 2014
Slider-Economics-and-Theory

We've got our ideas and opinions. We certainly see some big things happening in 2015. With that said, we don't predict. We just don't believe in it...
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Reflections on Page Sixteen

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December 8, 2014
Slider Risk Management

When the story shows up on a magazine cover, the biggest profits have generally been made...
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Why Do We Bother Publishing (and Selling) Our Research?

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October 23, 2014
Slider Psychology Emotion & Process

As traders, why do we bother publishing (and selling) our research? In fact, why do we bother selling anything? Why don't we just "quietly trade" and keep our heads down?
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Be True To Yourself

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August 28, 2014
Slider Inspiration & Insight

What is the biggest life mistake you can make? Short of getting yourself killed, what is the one thing you want to avoid doing?
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On the New Issues Market

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August 14, 2014
Slider Trading Wisdom

"The new issues market has as much nobility as the Fulton Fish Market in the noonday sun when the cobblestones are littered with the carcasses of overripe flounder that didn't sell that morning."
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On Form and Technique (in Poker and Trading)

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August 6, 2014
Slider Poker & Trading

Diligent commitment to form and technique is the true path to mastery. Here we reflect as to why...
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Your Favorite Beloved Tech Stock Was Just a Giant Macro Bet

Slider Risk Management

Investors who were long high-beta growth stocks, now wondering what the hell is going on, have received a painful wake-up call: It was just a giant macro bet...
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Dumb Tourist: Michael Lewis “Flash Boys” Review

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April 2, 2014
Slider Articles and Reviews

I am (or sad to say, was) a huge Michael Lewis fan. Liar’s Poker, The Blind Side and The Big Short are all classics. With that said, Flash Boys is terrible. It is not just a major whiff, but a travesty. And it really ticked me off.
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Four Types of Market Participant (or, How to Spot a Bad Moon Rising)

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February 13, 2014
Slider Risk Management

"If you really get this concept, you are on your way to understanding how the great Stan D. made 30%+ compounded over 30 years..."
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Getting On the Rough Road

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February 11, 2014
Slider Inspiration & Insight

Are you on the road to greatness? If not... why not?
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